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Brokers see downturn as chance to consolidate before growth returns

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Director of Brokerage at southern-based Dai Viet Securities Vu Hong Nhung’s current assessment of the stock market is that it is quite sluggish with low liquidity and an absence of vibrant capital flows.

“This may be a good period to accumulate, as the market is re-evaluating both international and domestic developments, particularly the ongoing net selling by foreign investors,” said Nhung.

January saw foreign investors pull approximately $260 million from the HSX, representing the fourth consecutive month of net-selling. In the first half of February, the net-sell off came to around $240 million, all but ensuring a fifth consecutive month for the streak.

“Therefore, the strategy that investors should focus on now is defensive in terms of capital, portfolio, and trading methods,” explained Nhung.

Brokers see downturn as chance to consolidate before growth returns
Photo: baodautu.vn

Nhung suggests investors should reassess the funds they have allocated to securities, prioritise long-term capital, and limit the use of leverage to avoid risks in the case of a market correction. Using short-term capital may create significant pressure if the market does not perform as expected.

“Meanwhile, for investment portfolios, this is the time to review, select, and reassess, focusing on companies with strong fundamentals, long-term growth potential, and competitive advantages within their industries.

Additionally, investors may consider allocating a portion of their capital into other financial products, such as fund certificates from reputable institutions, to diversify their portfolios to optimise investment efficiency,” said Nhung.

According to Nhung, investors should prioritise buying preferred stocks at lower price bases during market corrections and maintain trading discipline. This approach can help avoid discouragement amid prolonged market stagnation and prevent missing out on attractive future opportunities.

“A sluggish market may discourage investors, but it is also an opportunity to consolidate positions before the market enters a new growth cycle,” Nhung added.

Analysts at Hanoi-based KB Securities Vietnam (KBSV) suggest that while preparing strategies to safeguard profits during this accumulation phase, investors should also note positive factors that could impact the market in February.

KBSV analysts forecast that given the positive profit trends of listed companies over the past year, the overall market Earnings Per Share is improving, making the VN-Index valuation relatively attractive.

The positive results in the most recent fourth-quarter earnings reports are reflected in market movements. Encouraging profit reports, especially from the technology and banking sectors, further strengthen investor sentiment and create expectations for increased capital inflows.

Additionally, stable or slightly declining exchange rates help reduce risks for import businesses and companies with large foreign currency debt while facilitating foreign investment inflows. Exchange rate stability also helps control inflation, creating a safer investment environment, which is a positive signal for the stock market.

A key market focus in the near future will be Vietnam’s stock market upgrade process by FTSE Russell, a global index leader in stock market classification.

Investors are eagerly awaiting updates, with Vietnam potentially being placed on the watch-list for an upgrade from frontier to emerging market status in September and for an official upgrade in early 2026.

KBSV asserts that this development is expected to maintain optimistic market sentiment and unlock numerous investment opportunities.

The VN-Index closed at 1,265 points at the end of January, with the market showing less optimism in the first half of the month but experiencing recovery in the latter half, ultimately ending the month at a level nearly unchanged from the end of 2024.

The average daily matched liquidity on the HSX in January remained low, approximating $380 million per session, 37 per cent lower than the same period last year and 42 per cent lower than the 2024 average.

Source: https://vir.com.vn/brokers-see-downturn-as-chance-to-consolidate-before-growth-returns-122876.html

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Differences are advantage for New Zealand relations

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In light of the establishment of a comprehensive strategic partnership early this month, New Zealand and Vietnam stand to enjoy more robust economic relations. Warrick Cleine, chair of the New Zealand Chamber of Commerce in Vietnam, talked with VIR’s Thanh Van about the future prospects of bilateral economic ties.

Could you comment on the important milestone of New Zealand and Vietnam upgrading ties to a comprehensive strategic partnership (CSP)?

Differences are advantage for New Zealand relations
Warrick Cleine, chair of the New Zealand Chamber of Commerce in Vietnam

This is a special year for New Zealand and Vietnam, marking 50 years of diplomatic relations, and coming at a time that many of the two countries areas of common interest are under threat.

Prime Ministers Pham Minh Chinh and Chris Luxon shook hands on February 27 on the visit of the latter to Hanoi, confirming the culmination of many years of hard work to realise the CSP.

This is not new for Vietnam. The country has been working hard to build stronger diplomatic and economic relationships with many partners, and the CSP framework has been helpful to differentiate the various relationships. This provides focus for both officials and business leaders in each country, and should over time deliver outsize economic, cultural, political, and social benefits to the two countries.

How does this elevation unlock new opportunities?

On the face of it, New Zealand and Vietnam are very different. Vietnam sits at the heart of Asia, a fast-growing economy of 100 million people, with an ambitious industrial strategy and increasing importance as a manufacturing hub for global exporters.

New Zealand, on the other hand, is a remote western liberal democracy located in the South Pacific, a member of the Commonwealth with just over five million people, and the majority of exports related to primary production in the agricultural, horticultural, and seafood industries.

However, this hides the intense common interest that both countries have as smaller, export trading nations, in preserving and promoting the rules based global trading order, particularly through multilateral organisations such as the World Trade Organization, and through the mutual entry and recognition of free trade agreements.

Vietnam and New Zealand worked hard to maintain momentum for the Comprehensive and Progressive Agreement for Trans-Pacific Partnership, signalling common interest in high value and mutually respectful trade relationships. As the new US administration further shakes up the global trade arena, such relationships and common missions take on new and urgent importance.

What is the outlook of economic and business activities between New Zealand and Vietnam under this new arrangement?

It is the differences between the two countries that compel a closer relationship. Vietnamese consumers love the sort of clean, green, and healthy produce that New Zealand is so great at making. This drove New Zealand exports to Vietnam over the $1 billion mark last year, and encouraged over 8,000 Vietnamese to visit New Zealand, despite the costs and challenges of doing so.

New Zealand’s world-class English language education system is also appealing to Vietnamese students, with 1,800 of them currently studying in the country.

On the other hand, Kiwis love buying Vietnamese-made products, validating the countries push to become a manufacturing powerhouse, with over $1.7 billion of exports last year, mostly in electronic goods, footwear, clothing, and machinery.

New Zealanders recognise the value of growing economic, cultural, and social relationships with Asia. According to a recent survey by the Asia New Zealand Foundation, two-thirds of Kiwis see Vietnam as important to New Zealand’s future. The announcement by Vietjet that they will commence four weekly direct flights from Ho Chi Minh City to Auckland from September 2025 will only see this increasing, as more Kiwis and Vietnamese have the opportunity interact with each other.

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Hanoi aims to turn polluted To Lich River into green space

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The Hanoi People’s Committee has also given in-principle approval to a wastewater system project in the West Lake area, with an estimated budget of over 99 billion VND (3.88 million USD) funded by Tay Ho district.

Hanoi aims to turn polluted To Lich River into green space
To Lich River (Photo: VNA)

Hanoi – The People’s Committee of Hanoi has given the greenlight to Sun Group Joint Stock Company’s plan to transform the polluted To Lich River into a green space, creating a landscape and ecological highlight to serve the community.

Relevant units were asked to refine technological solutions for cleaning the riverbed and restoring the river’s bottom. Furthre research will also be conducted to explore ways to use the river as a water storage area during flooding, as part of the broader Capital Drainage Planning.

The municipal People’s Committee has also given in-principle approval to a wastewater system project in the West Lake area, with an estimated budget of over 99 billion VND (3.88 million USD) funded by Tay Ho district.

The project, set to run from 2025 to 2027, will develop a wastewater collection system and pumping stations to connect to the existing West Lake wastewater collection network in two phases. This initiative will lay the groundwork for a fully separate wastewater drainage system for the lake’s surrounding area.

Beyond improving the area’s drainage capacity, the project aims to resolve the issue of wastewater pollution flowing into West Lake, contributing to the restoration and enhancement of the local environment.

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PM chairs meeting of 14th National Party Congress’s sub-committee for socio-economic affairs

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He requested that the draft report must adopt innovative, breakthrough thinking, methodologies, approaches, and practices, in alignment with the global and regional situations as well as the country’s development requirements; and that the content must be more up-to-date, proposing new breakthroughs and drivers for development.

PM chairs meeting of 14th National Party Congress’s sub-committee for socio-economic affairs
Politburo member and Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh (Photo: VNA)

Hanoi – Politburo member and Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh, head of the sub-committee for socio-economic affairs of the 14th National Party Congress, chaired the sub-committee’s fourth session to continue supplementing and finalising the draft socio-economic report in Hanoi on March 13.

The PM stated that, compared to the draft report before the Party Central Committee’s 10th session, many contents have been adjusted and updated, such as results of socio-economic development, with more specific and accurate data, growth directions, tasks, and goals, with a target of 8% in 2025 and double digits in the following years, development orientations and tasks focusing on science and technology, innovation, digital transformation, and the need to consider the role of the private sector.

He requested that the draft report must adopt innovative, breakthrough thinking, methodologies, approaches, and practices, in alignment with the global and regional situations as well as the country’s development requirements; and that the content must be more up-to-date, proposing new breakthroughs and drivers for development.

Chinh required sub-committee members to discuss and assess the situation accurately, proposing feasible, high-efficiency goals, tasks, and solutions, especially to achieve the two goals set for the country’s 100-year anniversary.

He suggested that they should discuss and reach a consensus on the content, continue to refine the draft socio-economic report to present to the Politburo. After receiving the Politburo’s feedback, the report should be finalised and submitted to the Party Central Committee for presentation at its session in early April.

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