Connect with us

Project

AMRO forecasts Vietnam’s economy to grow by 6.5 per cent in 2025

Published

on

ASEAN+3 Macroeconomic Research Office (AMRO) estimates Vietnam’s economy to grow by 6.5 per cent in 2025, after posting a strong 7 per cent growth in 2024.

AMRO forecasts Vietnam’s economy to grow by 6.5 per cent in 2025

Despite potential headwinds from heightened US trade protectionism, Vietnam’s growth is projected to be supported by improving domestic demand and front-loaded external orders.

To sustain this momentum, an appropriate policy mix is essential to promote growth while safeguarding financial stability. These insights are highlighted in the 2024 Annual Consultation Report on Vietnam released by the AMRO on March 6.

Despite being hit by Super Typhoon Yagi, the Vietnamese economy continued to gain momentum in 2024, driven by robust external demand. The recovery was led by manufacturing exports, a rebound in the hospitality sector, and steady inflows of foreign direct investment (FDI). However, household spending and private investment by domestic firms remained stagnant.

In 2025, external demand is projected to remain strong in the first half of the year due to front-loaded orders ahead of the potential increases in US tariffs. Local demand is expected to improve, while public investment would be expedited before the next Vietnam Presidential election in early 2026.

Despite the stronger demand pressure, consumer price inflation is forecast to decline from 3.6 per cent in 2024 to 3.5 per cent in 2025 on the back of a moderation in global energy prices.

The Vietnamese authorities have implemented a combination of monetary and fiscal measures to support economic recovery. The government has extended several relief initiatives into 2025, including a 2 per cent reduction in VAT, along with deferrals for tax and land rent payments.

On monetary policy, the State Bank of Vietnam has kept operating interest rates low, reduced open market operation rates, raised the indicative credit growth target, and extended the loan moratorium programme for an additional six months. Additionally, state-owned commercial banks have lowered short-term deposit and lending rates to steer broader market interest rates downward.

Risks to Vietnam’s growth outlook are skewed to the downside. The country’s strong export recovery could face external headwinds, including weaker-than-expected consumer demand in the US, a pronounced economic slowdown in Europe, and slower growth in China. Additionally, uncertainty surrounding US trade policy further clouds the export outlook.

The financial sector continues to grapple with lingering credit risks, driven by the delayed impact of an uneven economic recovery and the aftermath of Typhoon Yagi. The loan moratorium programme freezes borrowers’ loan classifications and allows them to defer principal repayments on existing loans, while enabling them to secure new credit from banks.

In the housing market, delays in implementing new real estate-related laws could further dampen prospects. Amid various market challenges, some property developers are facing difficulties with debt repayment and refinancing, adding to the sector’s vulnerabilities.

In the longer term, Vietnam’s growth potential is constrained by several structural challenges, including insufficient infrastructure development, a persistent mismatch between workforce skills and industry requirements, and the underdevelopment of domestic supporting industries and micro-, small and medium-sized enterprises (MSMEs).

Adding to these pressures are emerging challenges such as cyberattacks, extreme weather events, and the rapidly aging population, which pose growing threats to the country’s macroeconomic and financial stability.

Given an uneven economic recovery, Vietnam’s ample fiscal space can provide room for the government to extend additional support measures to vulnerable segments such as MSMEs and low-income households. Moreover, the disbursement of public investment can be expedited to boost short-term growth and strengthen long-term growth potential.

AMRO noted state revenue management should be strengthened further by enhancing the enforcement and compliance of tax laws, simplifying the tax system, broadening the revenue base, and minimising tax exemptions.

Revising the State Budget Law to reduce the settlement time of the government annual accounts and minimising carry-over spending should also be considered.

“Given contained inflationary pressure, weak domestic demand, and subdued performance of MSMEs, monetary policy should remain accommodative to foster a more inclusive economic recovery,” AMRO said.

“The recent rate cut by the US Federal Reserve has eased pressure on the VND and lowered the risk of speculative capital outflows. Monetary reforms should focus on gradually phasing out quantitative credit targets and transitioning towards a more market-driven interest rate approach.”

Investing

Billionaire Trần Bá Dương’s VND 2,000 Billion, 200-Hectare Industrial Park in Thái Bình Could Begin Operations This Year

Published

on

The Thaco – Thái Bình Industrial Park, covering more than 194 hectares with an investment of over VND 2,100 billion, is expected to become operational within this year, according to the development plan.

Recently, provincial leaders of Thái Bình conducted an on-site inspection of land clearance efforts and infrastructure construction progress at the Thaco – Thái Bình Industrial Park located in Quỳnh Phụ District.

To date, Quỳnh Phụ District has completed compensation and land clearance for nearly 192 hectares of agricultural land, involving the land recovery of 1,067 households to hand over to the investor for project implementation.

Currently, the district is focusing on clearing the remaining land, involving 94 households in Lương Cầu Hamlet, An Cầu Commune. At the same time, it is coordinating with the electricity sector to relocate a 220kV high-voltage power line.

On the investor’s side, groundwork construction is underway, including roadbeds, internal roads, stormwater and wastewater drainage systems, and communication infrastructure within the industrial park.

The Thaco – Thái Bình Industrial Park is a specialized high-tech agricultural industrial park proposed by THACO Group (chaired by billionaire Trần Bá Dương) since 2017, originally planned to cover 250 hectares. By July 2017, the provincial authorities agreed to incorporate the project into Thái Bình’s industrial development master plan.

In August 2020, THACO officially broke ground on the industrial park’s infrastructure. A year later, in August 2021, the project’s investment certificate was revised, confirming a total investment of over VND 2,100 billion and a land area of more than 194 hectares. The project is being developed across An Thái, An Ninh, and An Cầu communes in Quỳnh Phụ District.

According to the roadmap, the investor is determined to complete and officially launch the project in 2025.

The Thaco – Thái Bình Industrial Park is designed as a dedicated high-tech agricultural zone, featuring various functional subdivisions including an administration center, agro-food processing zone, high-tech agricultural training center, experimental farms, agricultural materials production area, and a cargo transport port.

This project is considered one of the key developments in Thái Bình Province, playing a crucial role in the region’s socio-economic growth strategy.

Continue Reading

Project

Carbon labels: a gateway to high-value global markets

Published

on

In an era where sustainability is not just a choice but a requirement, carbon labelling is emerging as a crucial factor for exporters.

Carbon labels: a gateway to high-value global markets
Vu Trung Kien, director Climate Change Resilience Centre

Countries like the US and the European Union are implementing stringent carbon regulations, such as the EU’s Carbon Border Adjustment Mechanism and increasing scrutiny on supply chain emissions.

Vietnamese businesses that fail to adopt carbon labelling risk losing access to lucrative markets. However, those that proactively integrate carbon footprint transparency into their products can gain a competitive advantage, enhance brand reputation, and secure long-term profitability.

Across the world, forward-thinking countries have embraced carbon labelling as a strategic tool for trade success. These efforts have not only helped businesses comply with regulations but have also opened doors to new investment and consumer markets.

Japan has implemented a government-backed carbon labelling programme that allows companies to display detailed carbon footprint information on their products. This has strengthened consumer trust and made Japanese goods more attractive in environmentally conscious markets such as the EU and North America.

The South Korean government incentivises businesses to adopt carbon labelling through tax benefits and green export support schemes. Companies that participate gain access to new trading partners, particularly in Europe, where sustainable supply chains are becoming the norm. Thailand, a key competitor to Vietnam, has integrated carbon labelling across industries such as food processing, textiles, and electronics. Thai exporters, particularly in agriculture, now benefit from preferential treatment in European supermarkets and trade agreements.

These case studies highlight an important lesson: carbon labelling is not just about compliance – it is a business strategy that enhances market access, builds consumer confidence, and future-proofs exports.

For businesses in Vietnam, waiting until carbon labelling becomes a legal requirement would be a mistake. Many international corporations have already set ambitious sustainability targets, requiring suppliers to provide verifiable carbon footprint data. Voluntary carbon labelling can position Vietnamese enterprises as reliable, future-ready partners.

It works by companies conducting a life cycle assessment to measure emissions from production to disposal. Products are labelled with a carbon footprint score, helping consumers and businesses make informed choices. Labels are often verified by third-party certifiers to ensure credibility and compliance with global standards.

The benefits include a boost for green supply chains. Companies like Nestlé and Unilever prioritise suppliers that provide carbon footprint transparency. Vietnamese food and beverage exporters can gain an edge by aligning with such demands.

Businesses with carbon-reduction strategies attract funding from international banks and investors that focus on increasing environmental, social, and governance (ESG) investment.

It also leads to improved consumer trust and higher sales. Studies indicate that climate-conscious consumers prefer labelled products. In markets like the EU, organic rice, seafood, and textiles from carbon-labelled brands command higher prices.

For Vietnamese companies looking to integrate carbon labelling into their strategy, a step-by-step approach can make the transition smooth and effective.

Pilot carbon labelling programmes in key sectors are critical, with a focus on industries where carbon labelling is already gaining momentum, such as textiles, seafood, agriculture, and furniture.

The process must start with one or two high-export products and conduct a carbon footprint analysis to understand emissions sources. Industry associations must also work with international partners to ensure the label aligns with EU and US standards.

Collaboration with certification bodies is also key, and partnering with recognised organisations such as the Carbon Trust (UK), TÜV Rheinland (Germany), or SGS (Switzerland) for certification is advised, as is engaging with Vietnamese regulatory bodies to advocate for government incentives similar to South Korea’s model.

Another vital part of the process is to leverage green financing and government incentives to access ESG-linked loans and grants that support supply chain improvements. Alongside this, there needs to be a move to propose carbon labelling incentive programmes through the Vietnam Chamber of Commerce and Industry or the Ministry of Industry and Trade.

The future of Vietnam’s export competitiveness is green. The world is moving towards sustainable trade, and carbon-labelling is no longer optional for businesses that want to thrive in international markets. By learning from successful global initiatives, Vietnamese companies can turn carbon transparency into an economic advantage rather than a compliance burden.

The time to act is now. Companies that lead in carbon labelling will not only future-proof their businesses but also shape Vietnam’s reputation as a responsible trade leader.

Continue Reading

Project

Industrial parks in Binh Duong increase FDI attraction by 232%

Published

on

In the first quarter of 2025, an additional 588 million USD in foreign direct investment (FDI) poured into Binh Duong Province’s industrial parks, marking a 232% increase compared to the same period in 2024 and reaching 53.43% of the 2025 annual plan, as reported by the provincial Management Board of Industrial Parks on March 26.

Of the 588 million in FDI USD invested in industrial parks during the first quarter, there were 25 new investment projects with a total registered capital of more than 60.2 million USD and 26 projects with additional capital adjustments, contributing nearly 528 million USD in increased capital.

With this positive investment attraction in the first quarter, industrial parks in Binh Duong have so far attracted 3,252 active projects, including 2,561 FDI projects with total registered capital of 31.57 billion USD and 691 domestic investment projects with total registered capital of 93.664 trillion VND.

According to the Management Board of Industrial Parks in Binh Duong, 10 new projects have become operational in the first quarter. Currently, the province’s industrial parks have 2,706 active business and production projects, including 507 domestic projects and 2,199 FDI projects.

With effective operations, the estimated business and production targets for the first quarter of 2025 in the province’s industrial parks exceeded 11 billion USD, increasing by 7.72% compared to the same period last year and reaching 31.49% of the annual plan. Export turnover surpassed 6.34 billion USD, up 9.22% year on year, achieving 25.36% of the annual plan. Taxes and budget contributions reached nearly 175.4 million USD, increasing by 10.23% year on year and fulfilling 25% of the annual target.

Binh Duong currently has 29 industrial parks with a total planned area of 12,746 hectares. Of which, 28 industrial parks are already operational, covering a total of 12,046 hectares.

According to the Binh Duong Provincial Master Plan for 2021-2030, with a vision to 2050, which was approved by the prime minister, the province is planned to develop 48 to 50 industrial parks with a total planned area of 25,000 hectares.

Continue Reading

Trending