Typhoon Yagi and its aftermath have provided valuable lessons in managing and mitigating the impacts of natural disasters on supply chains, particularly in a region as industrially significant as northern Vietnam, writes Julien Brun, managing partner of CEL, a leading consulting firm specializing in supply chain solutions.
Julien Brun, managing partner of CEL. Photo courtesy of the company.
Typhoon Yagi, a severe climate event, left a notable imprint on the global supply chain and logistics landscape. With 75% of businesses reporting disruptions, the event underscored the acute vulnerability of this sector to natural disasters.
This analysis delves into the specific impacts on various sectors, infrastructure damages, and the broader economic implications, providing strategic recommendations for future resilience.
Business impact and sector-specific effects
The typhoon’s effect varied across different sectors, with the supply chain and logistics sector bearing the brunt.
Our survey on 216 businesses operating in Vietnam showed that 15.4% of businesses faced severe disruptions, 53.6% experienced manageable delays, and 24.6% reported minor impacts. Only a small fraction (6.2%) escaped unscathed.
The manufacturing sectors followed closely in terms of impact, highlighting the interconnectivity of global supply chains. Conversely, the retail and distribution sectors reported lesser impacts, attributed to proactive supply planning which mitigated the adverse effects.
Transportation emerged as the most affected area, with over half of the businesses across sectors like manufacturing, retail, and distribution feeling the pinch. Warehousing and inventory management were the second most impacted areas, revealing significant vulnerabilities in these foundational aspects of supply chain operations.
In the retail and distribution sector, a notable 28.6% of companies reported issues with supplier availability, exacerbating the challenges during the recovery phase.
The survey was done within seven days after super typhoon Yagi, from September 10-15. Of the 216 responses from surveyed companies, 38.7% are in the manufacturing sector, 26.9% in supply chain and logistics, 15.1% in retail and distribution, and the remaining in other sectors like services.
In northern Vietnam, where over 100 industrial parks host major FDI investors like Samsung and Goertek, the stakes were particularly high. These parks contribute significantly to Vietnam’s exports, primarily driven by FDI firms such as Samsung Electronics, LG Electronics and Fushan Technology.
The region’s strategic focus on high-tech manufacturing and electronics made it exceptionally vulnerable to the disruptions caused by Yagi.
Part of a Thanh Thanh Cong-Bien Hoa Joint Stock Company factory in Nam Dinh Vu Industrial Park collapsed due to Yagi typhoon, September 2024. Photo courtesy of Tuoi Tre (Youth) newspaper.
Infrastructure and economic damage
Northern Vietnam, contributing 32% to the national GDP and ranking among the fastest-growing regions, faced unprecedented damage. Typhoon Yagi inflicted substantial infrastructure damage across the area, including flooding, roof damage, structural collapses, and widespread power outages.
These damages were not only costly to repair but also led to significant operational downtimes. Preliminary estimates suggest that the typhoon caused over VND50 trillion (approximately $2 billion) in damages, potentially reducing the annual GDP growth by about 0.15 percentage points from the projected 6.8-7%. Such economic impacts highlight the broader repercussions of such natural disasters on national and global scales.
Challenges in disaster preparedness and recovery
The recurring theme from the typhoon’s aftermath is the challenge in disaster preparedness and the importance of robust recovery strategies. The unpredictability of such severe weather events makes it difficult for supply chain leaders to prepare adequately. Most damages were to facilities designed to withstand only known levels of disturbances, pointing to a significant gap in current architectural and regulatory standards.
Recovery efforts were often hampered by the lack of formalized business recovery plans. The common practice post-disaster involved moving goods from exposed to safer warehouses, covering sensitive equipment, and finding alternative logistic routes.
However, the effectiveness of these measures was limited by the absence of pre-planned, structured responses, leading to prolonged and chaotic recovery processes.
Recommendations for future resilience
Enhancing resilience within supply chains requires a multi-faceted approach:
● Infrastructure Upgrades: There is a critical need for better quality buildings that can withstand severe weather events. This involves architectural and regulatory shifts towards more robust construction standards.
● Decentralization: Adopting a more decentralized network can prevent complete operational failures when one facility is compromised. This strategy ensures that parts of the network can still function, albeit at reduced capacity.
● Formalized recovery planning: Implementing and training for business recovery plans should become a standard practice across all supply chain and logistics operations.
● Building alternative capacities: Developing alliances with companies in diverse locations can provide emergency support, maintaining operational continuity during disruptions.
According to Julien Brun, managing partner of CEL, the path to resilience is complex and requires a cultural shift towards long-term sustainability over immediate profitability. Resilience takes time and requires incremental learning for every event.
Typhoon Yagi and its aftermath have provided valuable lessons in managing and mitigating the impacts of natural disasters on supply chains, particularly in a region as industrially significant as northern Vietnam.
By adopting more rigorous preparedness and recovery frameworks, and investing in resilient infrastructure, the global supply chain and logistics sectors can enhance their capabilities to withstand future climatic challenges.
The ongoing development and implementation of these strategies are essential not only for the recovery from Yagi but also for the proactive management of future risks, safeguarding the economic vitality of vulnerable regions like northern Vietnam.
The Ho Chi Minh City Real Estate Association (HoREA) has proposed a pilot mechanism that would allow businesses to invest in and construct worker housing within industrial parks.
In a document submitted to the Prime Minister, contributing feedback on a draft pilot policy aimed at boosting social housing development, HoREA suggested that businesses, cooperatives, and cooperative unions operating within industrial parks be permitted to build accommodation for their workers. It also called for allowing companies to rent housing outside industrial parks for the same purpose.
HoREA emphasized that all costs related to building or renting worker housing should be recognized as legitimate business expenses and be included in the enterprise’s operating costs.
The association further recommended expanding the policy framework to allow companies within industrial parks to lease social housing or worker accommodation built by third-party developers outside the park premises.
According to Mr. Lê Hoàng Châu, Chairman of HoREA, the current Housing Law (2023) only allows companies to rent worker housing inside industrial parks, without clearly defining whether they can rent social housing outside the parks or construct such housing themselves.
With worker housing demand at industrial parks far exceeding supply, HoREA pointed out that current social housing and dormitory offerings are inadequate. Meanwhile, commercial housing remains out of reach for most workers due to high prices. Therefore, the association urges the government to introduce policies enabling manufacturing businesses—despite not operating in real estate—to develop their own accommodation solutions for employees.
HoREA underscored that such policies would create a strong legal foundation, empowering enterprises and cooperatives to proactively resolve housing issues for workers. If allowed to construct their own housing, companies could ensure homes go to those in need, boosting employee retention, improving living standards, and supporting sustainable growth in industrial zones.
The association also proposed financial support mechanisms, including tax incentives, access to preferential loans, or government-matching support, to reduce the financial burden on companies participating in worker housing development.
Previously, many businesses had expressed a desire to buy land, build housing, and offer installment-based homeownership plans to workers, whereby employees would pay monthly through salary deductions. While this model helps workers secure long-term housing, legal procedures remain a major hurdle.
Providing accommodation has increasingly become part of corporate strategies to retain labor, alongside other employee welfare policies. For example, Nissei Electric Vietnam (Linh Trung 1 Export Processing Zone, Thu Duc City) has built a dormitory complex with 285 shared rooms, housing up to 2,280 workers. Eternal Prowess Vietnam (District 12) and Thien Phat Company (Linh Trung 2 EPZ) have also invested in on-site worker housing. Thien Phat’s project includes 368 units (35m² each), rented at VND 2.2 million/month, with 80% of the units for families and 20% for shared accommodations.
As of Q2 2024, Ho Chi Minh City has 18 industrial parks with around 1,700 businesses employing approximately 320,000 workers. Citywide, over 1.3 million people are employed in factories. However, there are only 16 official worker housing complexes, accommodating about 22,000 people. The majority of workers rely on rented rooms or stay with acquaintances—often sharing 12m² rooms among 2–3 people, which consumes 15–20% of their monthly income.
From 2021 to the present, Ho Chi Minh City has completed six social housing projects with 2,700 units and is building four more with 3,000 units. By April 30, the city aims to resolve legal hurdles and break ground on 5–6 additional social housing projects, totaling around 8,000 units.
The Thaco – Thái Bình Industrial Park, covering more than 194 hectares with an investment of over VND 2,100 billion, is expected to become operational within this year, according to the development plan.
Recently, provincial leaders of Thái Bình conducted an on-site inspection of land clearance efforts and infrastructure construction progress at the Thaco – Thái Bình Industrial Park located in Quỳnh Phụ District.
To date, Quỳnh Phụ District has completed compensation and land clearance for nearly 192 hectares of agricultural land, involving the land recovery of 1,067 households to hand over to the investor for project implementation.
Currently, the district is focusing on clearing the remaining land, involving 94 households in Lương Cầu Hamlet, An Cầu Commune. At the same time, it is coordinating with the electricity sector to relocate a 220kV high-voltage power line.
On the investor’s side, groundwork construction is underway, including roadbeds, internal roads, stormwater and wastewater drainage systems, and communication infrastructure within the industrial park.
The Thaco – Thái Bình Industrial Park is a specialized high-tech agricultural industrial park proposed by THACO Group (chaired by billionaire Trần Bá Dương) since 2017, originally planned to cover 250 hectares. By July 2017, the provincial authorities agreed to incorporate the project into Thái Bình’s industrial development master plan.
In August 2020, THACO officially broke ground on the industrial park’s infrastructure. A year later, in August 2021, the project’s investment certificate was revised, confirming a total investment of over VND 2,100 billion and a land area of more than 194 hectares. The project is being developed across An Thái, An Ninh, and An Cầu communes in Quỳnh Phụ District.
According to the roadmap, the investor is determined to complete and officially launch the project in 2025.
The Thaco – Thái Bình Industrial Park is designed as a dedicated high-tech agricultural zone, featuring various functional subdivisions including an administration center, agro-food processing zone, high-tech agricultural training center, experimental farms, agricultural materials production area, and a cargo transport port.
This project is considered one of the key developments in Thái Bình Province, playing a crucial role in the region’s socio-economic growth strategy.
Vietnam’s semiconductor industry has immense potential, driven by strategic advantages and a growing market. However, addressing gaps in workforce development, training infrastructure, and industry collaboration is crucial.
According to Statista Market Insights, the Vietnamese semiconductor market is forecast to see healthy growth with a compound annual growth rate of 9.62 per cent between 2024 and 2027, reaching a market volume of $26.20 billion.
Le Quan, Senior lecturer Faculty of Engineering Fulbright University Vietnam
Vietnam also boasts over 30 foreign-led companies in integrated circuit (IC) design, including established players like Renesas, Synopsys, and Cadence alongside innovative startups like Ampere, ADTechnology, Inphi, FingerVina, Dolphin Technology. The sector also encompasses numerous smaller firms with around 100 or fewer employees.
By 2040, Vietnam is poised to become a crucial player in the global semiconductor ecosystem, encompassing all aspects of the industry, from design and manufacturing to assembly, test, and packaging (ATP) and equipment fabrication.
The strategy emphasises the importance of fostering a skilled workforce. Vietnam boasts a strong talent pool in the semiconductor industry, with 50,000 design engineers, 200,000 electronics engineers, 500,000 technical workers, and one million software engineers. To further enhance this workforce, the strategy aims to transition up to 30,000 personnel from the existing pool of 350,000 IT and telecommunications engineers.
The global semiconductor packaging landscape is undergoing a rapid transformation, driven by a surge in new facilities across Asia. The wave of semiconductor investment in Vietnam and the industry’s demand for personnel have driven educational institutions, from top universities to vocational colleges, to launch training programmes related to semiconductors.
Last year, major universities such as Hanoi University of Science and Technology, University of IT – Vietnam National University Ho Chi Minh, and the University of Engineering and Technology announced engineering programmes specialising in semiconductors. Younger universities like FPT and Phenikaa are also making significant investments in this area, not only in training initiatives but also in facilities and equipment.
However, to truly understand the current landscape of semiconductor training in Vietnam, it is essential to look at the regulations and current state of training schemes in this field from 2024 backward.
Firstly, the high costs associated with establishing chip fabrication facilities make it an impractical investment for Vietnam. The country’s resources would be better allocated towards sectors that promise more immediate returns, such as ATP and IC design. Advanced packaging technologies represent a feasible and profitable entry point in the global semiconductor value chain, aligning with Vietnam’s strengths in low-cost, adaptable labour.
Vietnam should focus on drawing overseas funding into ATP operations, leveraging its lower labour costs to attract foreign companies. The availability of a high-quality but affordable workforce makes Vietnam an attractive destination for packaging, testing, and assembly processes. Prioritising such investment with advanced packaging capabilities will allow Vietnam to build a competitive advantage in this sector.
Meanwhile, the IC design segment represents a high-value opportunity with significant global demand. To capitalise on this, Vietnam should proactively seek partnerships and outsourced projects from international IC design firms. Engaging Vietnamese firms in IC design outsourcing allows for skill transfer, builds local capacity, and positions Vietnam as a reliable partner in the global semiconductor value chain.
Collaboration between industry, educators, and government should be boosted. Building a cohesive semiconductor workforce will require closer partnerships between educational institutions, industry players, and the government.
By integrating real-world projects into academic programmes, Vietnamese graduates will better understand the industry’s practical requirements and be more prepared to transition directly into the workforce. Schemes that bring industry projects to academia will provide students with hands-on experience, making them job-ready upon graduation.
At the same time, establishing specialised training for semiconductor roles, particularly in ATP and IC design, will be essential to reduce the industry’s current reliance on costly in-house training. This should involve upskilling engineers from related fields through short, intensive courses designed to meet industry standards.
Partnerships with international organisations for curriculum development, as well as accreditation for training initiatives, will help elevate Vietnam’s semiconductor workforce to global standards.
Vietnam can also implement “train-the-trainer” programmes. Its academic institutions face a shortage of faculty members with practical experience in semiconductor technologies. By leveraging international partnerships, Vietnam can upskill its instructors, who can then transfer these skills to future generations of engineers.
Notably, several US institutions have expressed willingness to offer training to Vietnamese trainers, a vital step towards creating a sustainable, locally driven semiconductor education ecosystem.
Finally, effective workforce development in the semiconductor industry requires government involvement in fostering a supportive ecosystem. Policies that incentivise partnerships between academia and industry, such as funding for research and development and joint training programmes, are critical.