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ASEAN states unite for future economic stability
Published
6 days agoon
Vietnam and ASEAN member states are jointly deploying measures to boost the region’s economy, with a focus laid on completing the upgrade of a regional agreement to expand trade and investment.
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ASEAN states unite for future economic stability |
At last week’s ASEAN Future Forum 2025 in Hanoi, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar bin Ibrahim stated that member states need to further cement cooperation, especially in trade and investment, amid ongoing global risks such as the US-China trade war and the US’s new tariff policies.
“Overdependence on any single market will cause risks to ASEAN member states,” he said.
One of the solutions heard at the event is that efforts are to be made to agree the upgrade of the ASEAN Trade in Goods Agreement (ATIGA) this year.
ASEAN ministers tasked the negotiating committee for the upgrade with expediting and concluding discussions on the outstanding issues by March 31. Following this, a legal review process will commence, aiming for ASEAN countries to sign the upgrade agreement during the ASEAN Summit in November.
Vietnam became an ASEAN member in 1995 and began following what became the ATIGA soon afterwards. Under the deal, ASEAN member countries grant each other preferential treatment equivalent to or more favourable than the benefits given to partner countries in the free trade agreements ASEAN has signed.
Beyond tariff commitments, the agreement also covers a wide range of areas, including the elimination of non-tariff barriers, rules of origin, trade facilitation, customs, standards and conformity, and sanitary and phytosanitary measures.
However, though the ATIGA is being upgraded to help facilitate intra-trade and investment flows, the US government’s decision to impose punitive tariffs on major trading partners will impact Southeast Asia, and the region’s export-dependent economy could face long-term repercussions, experts said.
Wider impacts
US President Donald Trump has already inflicted an additional 10 per cent on imported Chinese goods, and is seeking to place 25 per cent tariffs on imports from Canada and Mexico after originally stalling the plan for a month. While ASEAN members will not be directly hit by such tariff increases, the plans could slow down global trade, reducing export revenues and investment inflows for ASEAN.
According to ASEAN Briefing, under consultancy firm Dezan Shira & Associates, a potential resurgence of tariffs could disrupt global supply chains, prompting Chinese firms to relocate production to ASEAN markets. This strategy would protect Chinese exports while boosting ASEAN’s role as a global manufacturing hub.
“However, ASEAN exporters, especially in electronics, textiles, and consumer goods, could face tariffs if perceived as conduits for Chinese-made products,” ASEAN Briefing said. “Vietnam’s electronics and textile exports, Malaysia’s semiconductor production, and Indonesia’s automotive parts sector may come under scrutiny. To avoid such risks, ASEAN economies must diversify export markets and strengthen regional trade agreements.”
Carlyle A. Thayer, emeritus professor at the University of New South Wales, said that there are two types of Trump tariffs that could affect Vietnam.
“The first is a direct tariff on Vietnamese goods exported to the United States. The second is massive US tariffs on China that depress Chinese consumption for Vietnamese exports and/or lead China to dump goods on the Vietnamese market,” Thayer said.
Vietnam has already indicated it is amenable to buying more goods from the United States, including liquefied natural gas, aircraft and aircraft engines, and military aircraft and unmanned platforms.
ASEAN ministers have introduced 14 priority economic deliverables in various sectors, embracing agriculture, tourism, energy, intellectual property, small- and medium-sized enterprises, digital transformation, as well as initiatives to strengthen supply chains and narrow the development gap among ASEAN member states.
When it comes to trade, the ministers have agreed to further open markets to ensure food security and strengthen the resilience and sustainability of the regional supply chain; not use new non-tariff measures; build up foundations for intra-bloc trade facilitation to support supply chain connectivity; and utilise digital technology and commerce to support businesses.
According to Singapore’s Ministry of Trade and Industry, an upgraded ATIGA will ensure the agreement’s continued relevance amidst emerging trends, better facilitate ASEAN trade flows, advance regional economic integration, and maintain ASEAN centrality amidst a shifting global environment.
The updated version will cover tariff liberalisation, rules of origin, non-tariff measures, trade facilitation, customs, technical regulations and conformity assessment procedures, sanitary and phytosanitary measures, and trade remedy measures.
The EU-ASEAN Business Council (EABC) has suggested that, regarding trade liberalisation under the ATIGA, specific measures should be explicitly included on the tariff-free treatment of reused, recycled, repaired, and remanufactured goods to speed up movement towards a circular economy in ASEAN.
“Remaining tariffs on some goods in some member states should be further eliminated to bring the ATIGA on par with other agreements that have been entered into subsequently,” the EABC said.
Under the existing ATIGA commitments, ASEAN member nations removed tariffs on 98.6 per cent of total goods and products in 2021. Brunei, Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, and Malaysia have eliminated 99.3 per cent of tariffs, while Cambodia, Laos, Myanmar, and Vietnam have eliminated 97.7 per cent. So far, the entire region has seen trade liberalisation.
It is suggested that balanced relationships with both the US and China position the region to attract steady foreign funding. In 2023, ASEAN recorded $230 billion in foreign direct investment, with Singapore ($159.6 billion), Indonesia ($21.6 billion), and Vietnam ($18.5 billion) as top destinations. Strengthening regional supply chains and easing business regulations will further enhance ASEAN’s attractiveness to investors.
In addition, a robust consumer base supports domestic consumption and intra-ASEAN trade, fostering resilience against external shocks.
Attractive to investors
At last week’s ASEAN Future Forum, it was reported that as ASEAN progresses towards becoming the world’s fourth-largest economy by 2030, the region presents unmatched opportunities for investors and businesses. Proactive reforms, strategic positioning, and a growing consumer class ensure ASEAN’s continued growth despite global challenges.
Vietnam’s total two-way trade with regional nations hit $83.9 billion in 2024, with the country suffering from a $9.9 billion trade deficit. Vietnam’s export turnover from ASEAN member states stood at $37 billion, up 13.7 per cent on-year, while the country’s import turnover reached $46.9 billion, up 14.7 per cent on-year.
In the first month of 2025, bilateral trade reached $6.8 billion, with Vietnam’s exports at $2.8 billion, down 14 per cent, and imports at $4 billion – up 10.5 per cent. This means a trade deficit of $1.2 billion. ASEAN is Vietnam’s third-largest trade partner.
The ASEAN Secretariat has commended Vietnam’s investment facilitation, which will help draw in more investment both inside and outside ASEAN.
“Vietnam’s government has continued to reform and take steps to further improve the country’s investment environment, including implementing resolutions and regulatory directives on strengthening information provision, simplifying processes, and reducing administrative requirements,” the secretariat stated.
According to Vietnam’s former Ministry of Planning and Investment, cumulatively as of late January, ASEAN nations have poured a great deal of investment into Vietnam, including Singapore with total registered capital of $84.14 billion, followed by Thailand ($14.35 billion), Malaysia ($13 billion), Brunei ($981.4 million), Indonesia ($670 million), the Philippines ($624.6 million), Laos ($102.5 million), and Cambodia ($76.8 million).
Pham Minh Chinh, Prime Minister
The ASEAN Future Forum 2025 is of great importance. It is held at the time of the 10th anniversary of the formation of the ASEAN Community, the 30th anniversary of Vietnam joining ASEAN, and also the year that it will adopt the ASEAN Community Vision 2045 to bring the bloc into a new era, towards a community that is self-reliant, innovative, and people-centred. From the five original founding members, after 60 years of development, ASEAN today has become a community of 10 countries united in diversity. It is the fifth-largest economy in the world, with the leading growth rate; the centre of regional and global integration processes; and a bridge of dialogue and cooperation for peace and development, actively contributing to shaping a new world order. In order for ASEAN to maintain its strong development momentum and realise its set goals, we propose three strategic priorities: strengthening ASEAN’s strategic autonomy through enhancing ASEAN’s solidarity and centrality; building an economically resilient ASEAN by renewing traditional growth drivers while encouraging new growth drivers, especially in sci-tech, innovation, and digital transformation; and upholding ASEAN’s values and identity, such as the spirit of harmony, unity in diversity, and respect for differences. In addition, ASEAN also needs to make breakthroughs in action. Specifically, it is necessary to build a more flexible, effective, and responsible decision-making mechanism; encourage public-private cooperation to mobilise all resources for regional development; and further enhance connectivity within ASEAN, particularly in infrastructure connectivity, people-to-people exchanges, and institutional harmonisation for transparency. Its three-decade participation in ASEAN has asserted Vietnam’s correct strategic vision. ASEAN has become a strategic space and a natural development environment for Vietnam. For its part, Vietnam has always been an active and responsible member in consolidating solidarity, enhancing the central role, and encouraging the sustainable development of ASEAN. There is a proverb in Vietnam: ‘One tree alone cannot make a hill, but three trees together make a mountain’. It is necessary to underline the solidarity, unity, cooperation, vitality, and strategic value of ASEAN. Vietnam will continue to work with member countries, partners, and international friends to continue to write new, proud pages in ASEAN’s development journey. |
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Some localities are catering to well-off groups who come for sightseeing, relaxation, or lavish weddings, photo Le Toan |
A month ago, two American millionaires from the financial sector, Jeff Grinspoon and John Thomas Foley, participated in a three-day, two-night tour of Halong Bay as part of an exclusive tour programme for the ultra-wealthy being promoted by the northeastern province of Quang Ninh.
On the first day, the pair enjoyed relaxation, dining, and entertainment on a cruise, kayaking around Cong Do and Tra San areas. On the second day, they visited the fishing village of Vung Vieng, explored the Tien Ong area, and kayaked on Ba Ham Lake.
On the final day of the journey, the guests admired the landscapes of Bai Tu Long Bay and Halong Bay before moving back to Tuan Chau Port to conclude the trip.
To cater to such travellers, Quang Ninh has prepared conditions to ensure their satisfaction, including expeditiously developing the beaches Soi Sim, Hang Co, and Trinh Nu as well as identifying seven pristine island areas and exclusive beaches for the super luxury segment.
At the same time, the province is focused on enhancing the tourism experience through connecting private cruise services to islands or helicopter transfers, and researching the holding of art performances combined with cocktail parties in well-equipped caves to create a unique experience.
Quang Ninh Department of Tourism understands that several wealthy groups from around the world will visit Halong on special tour programmes in May. In June, around 200 other wealthy people from various countries are expected to visit the destination as part of the Art for Climate Festival Halong.
According to Deputy Minister of Culture, Sports, and Tourism Ho An Phong, the global luxury tourism market reached over $2.18 trillion in 2024 and is forecasted to exceed $3 trillion by 2032. “Vietnam has one of the new seven natural wonders of the world, three UNESCO world natural heritage sites, 15 intangible cultural heritage sites, over 40,000 historical and scenic sites, a rich folk music tradition, and diverse cuisine. It has many advantages to develop luxury tour products,” Phong said.
One successful example is the Son Doong cave expedition in the central province of Quang Binh. Although the tour is expensive and has a limited number of guests, it is typically sold out as soon as bookings are opened, said DM Phong. “This is an opportunity for Vietnam to enhance its exploitation of the luxury market, a huge revenue source for Vietnamese tourism,” he added.
Prof. Pham Hong Long, head of the Tourism Department at Hanoi University of Social Sciences and Humanities, stated that to exploit the potential of high-end products, Vietnam’s tourism industry must focus on developing culture, cuisine, customisation, community, and content.
“Traditional cultural values need to be preserved and promoted, combined with modern experiences to create trips rich in identity,” Long said. “Investment in premium culinary experiences, service design based on each tourist’s individual needs, opportunities for tourists to immerse themselves in local life, and continuous innovation of new tourism products – ranging from golf and helicopter sightseeing to cruises and wellness – are necessary to meet the diverse demands.”
The Vietnamese tourism industry also needs to focus on infrastructure, improving services, and building policies to support businesses, he added.
“Airports, highways, and marinas need to be well-invested to ensure convenient connections between high-end destinations, and luxury resorts must meet international standards in terms of design, amenities, and services,” Long said. “At the same time, simplifying entry procedures will help luxury tourists easily choose Vietnam as a destination.”
Ngo Thi Huong, vice general director of Business and Marketing at Vinpearl, said that the high-end customer segment demands unique and personalised products.
“To attract high-end tourists, the tourism industry needs to build products related to healthcare, green tourism, and sustainable tourism. Depending on the target customer, tailored products are required. For instance, South Korean tourists who enjoy golf tourism need high-quality related products, supported by specific promotional policies,” Huong advised.
According to Vietravel chairman Nguyen Quoc Ky, trips taken by ultra-wealthy individuals are typically tightly controlled in terms of their personal information and schedules.
However, the impact of these trips still gradually spreads within the network of entrepreneurs and high-level relationships, opening up opportunities to welcome more guests from elite circles.
“An ordinary product can still become a high-end one if managed properly,” Ky said. “The perception of the customer will determine whether the product is considered high-end or low-end tourism. A hotel with 5-star facilities but an unprofessional staff and poor service will not be perceived as one by tourists.”
All Asia Vacation CEO Nguyen Duc Hanh said that travelling to Vietnam is becoming a trend among the ultra-wealthy. “Among individuals with total assets over $30 million, the company has served about 100 different clients travelling to Vietnam in 2024, a 12 per cent increase from the previous year,” Hanh said. “Many destinations around the world have become outdated for ultra-wealthy guests. Vietnam also has the advantage of being a relatively new tourist destination, so there is a demand for unique experiences here.”
According to World Ultra Wealth 2024, in the next five years, the global ultra-wealthy population is projected to increase by 38 per cent, reaching 587,600 individuals with a total wealth increase of $19 trillion.
Investing
Green e-commerce in Vietnam still faces challenges
Published
4 hours agoon
March 12, 2025![]() |
Vietnam’s e-commerce market is projected to grow at an average annual rate of over 20 per cent between 2024 and 2030, reaching approximately 90 billion USD by 2030, according to VECOM. (Photo: tapchitaichinh.vn) |
Hanoi – While the overall macro policies on environmental protection and sustainable development are creating favourable conditions for green e-commerce, the actual implementation of green transformation still faces numerous challenges.
One key obstacle is that policies have yet to link environmental protection requirements, according to the report on the E-commerce Green Index (ECGI), released by a research team from the Vietnam E-commerce Association (VECOM) and the World Wide Fund (WWF) Vietnam.
Legal documents related to e-commerce rarely include specific environmental protection regulations. Instead, they primarily focus on restricting the trade of certain prohibited or conditionally permitted goods and services.
Additionally, there is a lack of coordinated action among stakeholders, including Government agencies overseeing e-commerce, logistics, postal services, environmental management, businesses and consumers.
Most online businesses are not actively engaged in environmental protection efforts due to limited awareness, increased operational costs and the absence of clear legal regulations.
This situation also affects awareness-raising efforts for businesses and consumers in the green e-commerce sector, which remains fragmented and insufficient.
Roadmap for transformation
To address these challenges, the research team has introduced the ECGI framework, which sets out criteria and a roadmap for gradually transitioning toward greener e-commerce.
The framework is designed to help businesses quickly and comprehensively identify specific environmentally friendly actions. This, in turn, enhances their reputation and business efficiency, especially as consumers are increasingly prioritising brands that demonstrate environmental responsibility.
It is structured into six major criteria, comprising 19 sub-criteria. The first group is the commitment to deploy green e-commerce in a sustainable model. In this criterion, the research unit recommends that businesses make a clear commitment to green e-commerce businesses following a sustainable model.
The second is goods-related standards. This includes two sub-criteria, which are prohibiting the sale of environmental products banned by law and ensuring compliance with regulations governing restricted and conditionally permitted products.
The third group of criteria is order fulfilment services. It encompasses several sub-criteria, including avoiding the use of plastic packaging and materials prohibited by law, limiting the use of plastic packaging and other environmentally harmful materials in order fulfilment, prioritising eco-friendly packaging and managing warehouses and delivery operations sustainably.
It is essential to encourage and assist customers in reducing or eliminating the use of single-use plastics, promote low-carbon delivery options and facilitate consumer feedback on businesses’ environmental protection activities.
Following are internal green commitments. The research team proposed the need for environmental protection policies, energy saving and the integration of renewable energy sources into their operations.
The final group of criteria is researching and implementing green business models. This includes promoting circular economy practices, developing responsible business guidelines for consumer protection in e-commerce and adopting the Corporate Sustainability Index (CSI) for e-commerce enterprises.
Vietnam’s e-commerce market is projected to grow at an average annual rate of over 20 per cent between 2024 and 2030, reaching approximately 90 billion USD by 2030, according to VECOM.
While this growth brings economic benefits, it also exerts increasing pressure on the environment.
The rising volume of plastic waste from packaging and greenhouse gas emissions from delivery operations have surged alongside the sector’s rapid expansion. Addressing these environmental concerns is crucial to ensuring that Vietnam’s e-commerce industry develops sustainably.
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HCM City retail property market expected to heat up
Published
6 hours agoon
March 12, 2025In 2025, the commercial real estate market, especially in HCM City, is forecast to undergo significant positive changes, with an improved supply. It can be said that this segment will “transform” to recover for a new growth cycle.
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A shopping mall in HCM City. The retail property market in HCM City is expected to see further growth this year. (Photo: gkg.com.vn) |
HCM City – The retail property market in Ho Chi Minh City is expected to see further growth this year, as new buildings are completed and more retailers, attracted by the increasing purchasing power of the population, enter the market.
A report by JLL states that in 2025, there will be new high-quality retail spaces in the city centre, such as Marina Central (Masterise), providing around 13,000 sqm of rental space. Net effective rents are projected to increase by 2-3 per cent annually, although the recent expansion in the city fringe supply may impact this growth.
F&B, lifestyle, and children’s amusement sectors are anticipated to be major drivers of demand in the market, it added.
Another market researcher, Dat Xanh Services, reported positive growth figures for the market in 2024, providing a strong foundation for further development in 2025.
In 2024, the market saw 7 per cent growth, reaching 1.58 million square metres, with most off the growth occurring in the city centre. The occupancy rate increased by 3 per cent year-on-year to reach 93 per cent. Retail spaces were predominantly occupied by the supermarket, food and beverage, and fashion sectors.
Rent prices for retail spaces in commercial centres have experienced significant growth in central areas due to supply scarcity, coupled with high demand. Prices have been rising by 8 per cent annually, reaching an average of 53.1 USD per square metre.
The trend of consumers looking for commercial centres with shoppertainment programmes has driven investors to enhance their construction and renovation plans with competitive leasing policies.
Therefore, the market’s development is attributed to the involvement of both foreign and domestic retailers in the market, as well as the increase in purchasing power.
According to Euromonitor, non-grocery sales in Vietnam are expected to increase with a CAGR of 12.6 per cent from 2010 to 2027. Vietnam’s consumer expenditure per household index is also expected to increase by 38 per cent from 2024 to 2028, ranking the highest in Southeast Asia.
There are promising opportunities in the Vietnamese retail market, but success hinges on effectively engaging consumers. To stand out in the market, landlords need to upgrade and renovate their malls to reflect unique offerings.
Industry experts predict a positive transformation in the commercial real estate market in 2025, particularly in HCM City, with an improved supply. This segment is expected to undergo a transformative recovery for a new growth cycle.
According to Thanh Pham, associate director of CBRE Vietnam: “Domestic and foreign brands are steadily expanding in major districts, leading to fierce competition for prime locations amid a shortage of quality properties.”
Mai Vo, head of Retail Services at CBRE Vietnam, adds: “Despite lower sales of luxury brands in various markets, Vietnam continues to attract strong interest from a few niche brands that are targeting openings in 2025-2026. Despite the current subdued mood in retail sales in China and APAC in general, a significant number of Chinese brands are seeking opportunities to expand overseas, with Vietnam being one of the potential markets for expanding their store networks. Thus, both landlords and tenants should carefully plan and secure locations at least 12 to 18 months in advance, given the long lead time required.”
In 2025, the commercial real estate market, especially in HCM City, is forecast to undergo significant positive changes, with an improved supply. It can be said that this segment will “transform” to recover for a new growth cycle.
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