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Rubber industry to bounce back in 2025

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Vietnam’s rubber industry is poised for strong growth in 2025, driven by rising rubber prices, expanding production, and increased export opportunities, despite potential challenges from global trade policies and shifting market dynamics.

Phuoc Hoa Rubber JSC (PHR) is aiming to extract 12,800 tonnes of rubber in 2025, for total revenues of over $59 million, including around $51.5 million from rubber sales.

Rubber industry to bounce back in 2025
Photo: baodautu.vn

The company projects an average selling price of $1,750 per tonne, post-tax profit of $9.7 million, and a minimum cash dividend payout ratio of 10 per cent.

While revenue is expected to decline by 3.8 per cent on-year, post-tax profit is projected to increase by nearly 31 per cent. The company plans to optimise land use in Binh Duong province to enhance operational efficiency and exceed its revenue and profit targets by at least 10 per cent.

For the first quarter of the year, PHR has set a target of extracting of 1,920 tonnes of dry latex, processed rubber output of 3,420 tonnes, and sales of 4,900 tonnes, with an average price of $2,120 per tonne, generating $10.3 million in revenue and close to $1.2 million in pre-tax profit.

MB Securities anticipates that Phuoc Hoa Rubber’s 2025 revenue may dwindle by 3 per cent compared to 2024, but post-tax profit could grow by 10 per cent, driven by sustained high selling prices.

By 2026, the company’s revenue and net profit are expected to increase by 2 per cent and 8 per cent, respectively.

Dong Phu Rubber JSC’s high-yield rubber plantations produce over two tonnes per hectare and are expected to support growth in both rubber extraction and industrial real estate.

The company’s undertaking in Bac Dong Phu Industrial Park expansion, encompassing 317 hectares (ha), was approved for investment on January 16, and is anticipated to generate cash flow over the next two years.

Meanwhile, Vietnam Rubber Group’s (GVR) plantations generate an average yield of 1.5 tonnes per ha, yet the company’s 2025 outlook remains promising due to projected high rubber prices in the first half of the year.

The Association of Natural Rubber Producing Countries expects the demand for rubber to remain stable, particularly in China, Vietnam’s primary market for rubber exports.

An Binh Securities projects GVR’s revenue to grow by 6.6 per cent on-year to $1.12 billion this year, while post-tax profit is expected to rise by 4.7 per cent to $176.3 million.

As for Tay Ninh Rubber (TRC), the company is managing over 7,000ha of rubber plantations which continue to achieve high yields of over 2 tonnes per ha.

In Cambodia, its plantations, established in 2014, are entering peak production, yielding around 1.3-1.4 tonnes per hectare.

In Laos, the company oversees more than 10,000ha, with the majority entering peak harvest season between 2024 and 2029, expected to yield over 2 tonnes per hectare.

Over the past month, PHR shares rose by 25 per cent, TRC shares by 9.2 per cent, GVR shares by 6.2 per cent, Song Be Rubber shares by 6.1 per cent, and DakLak Rubber Investment JSC shares by 8.2 per cent.

Several stocks recorded substantial gains on-year, with Tan Bien Rubber JSC shares rose 123 per cent, Tay Ninh Rubber JSC grew by 151 per cent, and Dak Lak Rubber JSC went up 109 per cent.

Market analysts predict rubber prices will continue their upward trend in 2025, benefiting the natural rubber sector.

MB Securities forecasts that prices will remain elevated through the second quarter of 2025, with an estimated annual increase of 5-10 per cent compared to 2024.

In the US, a declining reliance on rubber imports from China, Canada, and Mexico has created new opportunities for Vietnamese rubber exporters, who increased their exports to 29,200 tonnes in 2024, valued at $50.6 million, raising the market share from 1.5 per cent in 2023 to 1.7 per cent.

As global trade dynamics continue to evolve, Vietnam’s rubber industry remains well-positioned to leverage rising prices, supply constraints in competing markets, and increasing demand from key trade partners.

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Hanoi aims to turn polluted To Lich River into green space

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The Hanoi People’s Committee has also given in-principle approval to a wastewater system project in the West Lake area, with an estimated budget of over 99 billion VND (3.88 million USD) funded by Tay Ho district.

Hanoi aims to turn polluted To Lich River into green space
To Lich River (Photo: VNA)

Hanoi – The People’s Committee of Hanoi has given the greenlight to Sun Group Joint Stock Company’s plan to transform the polluted To Lich River into a green space, creating a landscape and ecological highlight to serve the community.

Relevant units were asked to refine technological solutions for cleaning the riverbed and restoring the river’s bottom. Furthre research will also be conducted to explore ways to use the river as a water storage area during flooding, as part of the broader Capital Drainage Planning.

The municipal People’s Committee has also given in-principle approval to a wastewater system project in the West Lake area, with an estimated budget of over 99 billion VND (3.88 million USD) funded by Tay Ho district.

The project, set to run from 2025 to 2027, will develop a wastewater collection system and pumping stations to connect to the existing West Lake wastewater collection network in two phases. This initiative will lay the groundwork for a fully separate wastewater drainage system for the lake’s surrounding area.

Beyond improving the area’s drainage capacity, the project aims to resolve the issue of wastewater pollution flowing into West Lake, contributing to the restoration and enhancement of the local environment.

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PM chairs meeting of 14th National Party Congress’s sub-committee for socio-economic affairs

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He requested that the draft report must adopt innovative, breakthrough thinking, methodologies, approaches, and practices, in alignment with the global and regional situations as well as the country’s development requirements; and that the content must be more up-to-date, proposing new breakthroughs and drivers for development.

PM chairs meeting of 14th National Party Congress’s sub-committee for socio-economic affairs
Politburo member and Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh (Photo: VNA)

Hanoi – Politburo member and Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh, head of the sub-committee for socio-economic affairs of the 14th National Party Congress, chaired the sub-committee’s fourth session to continue supplementing and finalising the draft socio-economic report in Hanoi on March 13.

The PM stated that, compared to the draft report before the Party Central Committee’s 10th session, many contents have been adjusted and updated, such as results of socio-economic development, with more specific and accurate data, growth directions, tasks, and goals, with a target of 8% in 2025 and double digits in the following years, development orientations and tasks focusing on science and technology, innovation, digital transformation, and the need to consider the role of the private sector.

He requested that the draft report must adopt innovative, breakthrough thinking, methodologies, approaches, and practices, in alignment with the global and regional situations as well as the country’s development requirements; and that the content must be more up-to-date, proposing new breakthroughs and drivers for development.

Chinh required sub-committee members to discuss and assess the situation accurately, proposing feasible, high-efficiency goals, tasks, and solutions, especially to achieve the two goals set for the country’s 100-year anniversary.

He suggested that they should discuss and reach a consensus on the content, continue to refine the draft socio-economic report to present to the Politburo. After receiving the Politburo’s feedback, the report should be finalised and submitted to the Party Central Committee for presentation at its session in early April.

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ASEAN compelled to become microchip hub

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A call has been made for ASEAN member states to develop the region into a vast semiconductor hub, leveraging their strengths in manufacturing chips.

ASEAN compelled to become microchip hub
Singapore, Indonesia, Vietnam, and others all boast stronger policies for chip-related manufacturing, photo Le Toan

During the ASEAN Future Forum 2025 held in Hanoi late last month, Malaysian Prime Minister Anwar bin Ibrahim stated that member states need to cement cooperation in manufacturing semiconductors to turn Southeast Asia into a major hub for such products.

“Malaysia is leading the region in semiconductor manufacturing and the country’s leaders fully support the development of this industry,” PM Ibrahim told Vietnamese counterpart Pham Minh Chinh.

Malaysia began to develop semiconductor products about 20 years ago, with the participation of high-tech investors from the US, China, South Korea, and Japan. This success needs to be shared among other ASEAN nations, according to PM Ibrahim.

Malaysia is the world’s sixth-largest exporter of semiconductors, accounting for 13 per cent of the global assembly, testing and packaging market. It aims to lure in $115 billion worth of investments by 2030.

Last week, British chip company Arm Holdings inked a deal with Malaysia to bolster its efforts to produce high-end semiconductors. The deal will see Softbank-owned Arm provide chip designs and other technology, helping Malaysia to move into more value-added production such as wafer fabrication and integrated circuit design. Malaysia reported to be paying $250 million over a decade to receive support from Arm Holdings.

Malaysia’s national semiconductor strategy aims to invest over $100 billion in advanced technologies. In May 2024, the Malaysian government committed to invest at least $5.6 billion in the semiconductor industry, with the goal of being self-sufficient in chip manufacturing within the next 5–10 years.

“Indonesia, Vietnam, and Thailand also want to develop semiconductors, so all of us need to stay united and boost cooperation in this industry. Malaysia stands ready to support Vietnam in this endeavour,” PM Ibrahim said.

The global semiconductor industry is undergoing a significant transformation, with ASEAN emerging as a prominent player. Geopolitical tensions have opened opportunities for the region, with key contributors like Singapore and Malaysia leading the way.

ASEAN, in its effort to diversify the global supply chain, has recorded impressive growth. Total semiconductor exports from the region reached $268.8 billion in 2023, accounting for almost one-quarter of the global market. A 41.6 per cent increase in exports from 2018 to 2023 underscores the industry’s growth in this area.

Vietnam’s semiconductor industry is led by strategic government policies, raising foreign investment, and a growing demand for chips in various industries. With a projected market value of $31.28 billion by 2027 and a compound annual growth rate of 11.6 per cent from 2023 to 2027, Vietnam is steadily positioning itself as a key player in the global semiconductor supply chain, according to Dezan Shira & Associates.

After Vietnam and the US forged a comprehensive strategic partnership in 2023, the former’s semiconductor industry has been beefed up, with larger participation from global semiconductor giants such as Intel, OnSemi, Hana Micron, and Amkor. They are particularly found in outsourced semiconductor assembly and test (OSAT) facilities in the northern region, and research and development centres in the south.

Under Vietnam’s semiconductor strategy towards 2030, with a vision extending to 2050, the country will centre on talent development, manufacturing capacity, and global integration. According to the strategy, the country will establish at least 100 design companies, one small-scale manufacturing facility, and 10 packaging and testing plants, with annual revenue in the semiconductor industry of $25 billion, all by the end of this decade.

Those revenues will aimed to be doubled by 2024 and, from there to mid-century doubled again to $100 billion, with Vietnam seeking to boast 300 design companies, three fabrication plants, and 20 OSAT plants.

However, experts said a lack of high-quality personnel, underdeveloped infrastructure, and administrative hurdles need to be addressed.

Other ASEAN countries, such as Indonesia and Singapore, are also ramping up efforts.

Singapore is expanding its wafer fabrication zones and enhancing business support services. According to Singapore’s Economic Development Board, over the past decades, Singapore has become a semiconductor powerhouse, holding 10 per cent of the global chip production and about a fifth of the world’s chip-making gear.

Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong in his budget speech late last month said that Singapore has attracted global AI and quantum computing firms. He pledged to spend around SGD1 billion ($747 million) on a new chip research facility.

Singapore already houses plants for blue-chip US manufacturers including memory chip specialist Micron, outsource manufacturer GlobalFoundries and fabrication-equipment supplier Applied Materials.

Meanwhile, Indonesia, with its abundant raw materials, is developing a supply chain from raw material extraction to production. This regional competition not only elevates ASEAN’s position in the global semiconductor market but also fosters collaboration to create an integrated value chain.

“To strongly develop the semiconductor industry successfully, we need to pay special attention to training high-quality personnel,” Malaysian PM Ibrahim said.

Vietnam is aiming to train 50,000 skilled engineers for the industry by 2030 and about 100,000 by 2040.

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