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$2.99 bln needed to develop Ho Chi Minh City seaports: new plan

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The Ho Chi Minh City seaport system, under a new plan approved the the Ministry of Construction, will have a total of 41-44 ports by 2030, with total investment capital of VND77,452 billion ($2.99 billion).

Under the ministry’s Decision 407 dated April 11 on detailed planning for the development of HCMC seaports in the 2021-2030 period, with a vision to 2050, there will be 89-94 wharves, with a total length of 16,588.2 m to 18,588.2 m (excluding other ports).

Accordingly, HCMC seaports include Cat Lai-Phu Huu, Saigon River, Hiep Phuoc, Nha Be, Long Binh ports; Can Gio international transit port; other potential ports in Can Gio district; buoy docks; anchorage areas; and storm shelters.

Saigon Port in Ho Chi Minh City, southern Vietnam. Photo courtesy of Avilation Logistics (ALS).

Saigon Port in Ho Chi Minh City, southern Vietnam. Photo courtesy of Avilation Logistics (ALS).

The decision says by 2030, the HCMC seaport system will have a cargo throughput of 228-253 million tons, of which container cargo will be from 11.41 million TEU to 12.8 million TEU, excluding international transit container cargo. Passengers will be from 170,600 to 184,400.

By 2050, the volume of goods through the HCMC seaport system will reach an average annual growth rate of about 3.5-3.8%/year. Passengers will have an average annual growth rate of about 0.9-1%.

Of the total investment capital demand for the seaport system by 2030 of about VND77,452 billion ($2.99 billion), capital for public maritime infrastructure is about VND2,952 billion and the figure for ports is about VND74,500 billion or $2.88 billion (including only ports providing cargo handling services).

The construction ministry also detailed planning for the Can Gio international transit port area. Specifically, in the period up to 2030, the port area will have a cargo throughput of 22.8 million tons to 57.6 million tons (equivalent to 2.4 million TEU to 4.8 million TEU).

This port area will have a total of 2-4 ports, including 2-4 wharves with a total length of 1,016 m to 2,016 m, receiving ships with a tonnage of up to 250,000 tons or larger when qualified and meeting the demand for cargo throughput of 22.8 million tons to 57.6 million tons.

By 2050, the Can Gio international transit port area is expected to develop about 13 ports, meeting the demand for international container transit and cargo growth.

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Vietnam PM asks Warburg Pincus to invest ‘further and faster’

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Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh has called on Warburg Pincus to invest “further and faster” in Vietnam, especially in an expressway project it proposed in the south.

Chinh made the suggestion at a meeting with Jefferey Perlman, CEO of Warburg Pincus, a New York-based global private equity firm. Perlman is also chairman of the US-ASEAN Business Council (USABC).

Warburg Pincus recently proposed building a VND17.3 trillion ($677 million) expressway connecting the under-construction Long Thanh International Airport in Dong Nai province with its Grand Ho Tram Strip, a group of integrated resorts and residential developments, in Ba Ria-Vung Tau province, both in southern Vietnam.

Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh receives Jefferey Perlman, CEO of Warburg Pincus Group and chairman of the US-ASEAN Business Council (USABC), in Hanoi, April 18, 2025. Photo courtesy of the government's news portal.

Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh receives Jefferey Perlman, CEO of Warburg Pincus Group and chairman of the US-ASEAN Business Council (USABC), in Hanoi, April 18, 2025. Photo courtesy of the government’s news portal.

The cabinet leader asked Warburg Pincus to continue closely coordinating with relevant Vietnamese agencies to soon implement the project.

“This expressway is of great significance in enhancing regional connectivity, promoting the development of high-quality tourism and ancillary services, and maximizing the efficiency of the Ho Tram project which has a very strategic location and great potential to become a major tourist center,” he noted.

Building the expressway, the accumulated investment capital of the Ho Tram project might meet the conditions to be granted other favorable policies, under current regulations.

Therefore, the Prime Minister asked Warburg Pincus to continue closely coordinating with the Ministry of Finance, the Ba Ria-Vung Tau People’s Committee, and other relevant agencies to report to competent authorities for favorable policy approval, in accordance with the law.

Chinh said he highly appreciates the fund’s companionship and sustainable investment over the past decade in Vietnam, including the Ho Tram project, one of the largest resort and entertainment complexes in the country.

The project has made important contributions to tourism development, job creation and budget contribution in the country, he added.

Chinh also noted that he acknowledged the efforts and determination of Warburg Pincus in expanding investment in Ba Ria-Vung Tau and in Vietnam in general, and highly appreciates the proposal on the expressway.

He asked Warburg Pincus to further promote the Vietnam-U.S. trade and cooperation and raise a strong voice with the U.S. government for its soon recognition of Vietnam’s market economy status and removal of Vietnam from the list of countries with restrictions on high-tech exports.

“Up to now, Vietnam has basically addressed the concerns of the U.S. side, proactively cutting taxes and purchasing more goods from the U.S. The country is ready to exchange and negotiate with the U.S. on the basis of mutual benefit, towards a sustainable trade balance,” the Prime Minister highlighted.

“Vietnam will continue to improve the business environment, reform institutions, build infrastructure, develop human resources, cut administrative procedures, reduce compliance time and costs, bring down logistics costs, and enhance competitiveness for businesses,” he added.

In response, Warburg Pincus CEO Jefferey Perlman highlighted that at important moments in the Vietnam-U.S. economic relations, which are developing very strongly, Vietnam has received strong support from U.S. businesses.

He said U.S. businesses consider Vietnam a very reliable partner. Vietnam has been very active in reforming, achieving success in both short and long terms. US investors believe in Vietnam’s potential and long-term prospects, he added.

Regarding bilateral trade, Perlman noted that the country has been very active in responding to the concerns of the U.S. side and is continuing to actively remove obstacles for businesses, including US businesses.

He said that Warburg Pincus and he personally, as chairman of USABC, are always ready to provide Vietnam with mutually beneficial solutions on tariffs.

Warburg Pincus is one of the world’s leading investment management funds, with over $83 billion worth of assets under its management.

Since 2013, Warburg Pincus has invested more than $2 billion in Vietnam, creating more than 40,000 jobs. Vietnam is the fund’s third largest investment market in Asia, after China and India, the Vietnamese government’s news portal reported.

In Vietnam, notable projects with investments of Warburg Pincus include Vincom Retail, BW Industrial, Techcombank, MoMo, The Grand Ho Tram, and Xuyen A Hospital.

The investments have demonstrated Warburg Pincus’s long-term commitment to contributing to the development of infrastructure, finance, trade, and healthcare in Vietnam.

The Ho Tram project in Ba Ria-Vung Tau is a comprehensive service, tourism and entertainment project with a total investment of $4.23 billion, of which about $1.5 billion has been disbursed.

It has created jobs for more than 2,000 workers and contributed over VND2,200 billion ($85.04 million) to the budget in the past five years.

It is expected that the project will continue to disburse an additional $600 million by the end of 2025, bringing the total investment capital to about $2 billion, the news portal added.

The under-construction Long Thanh airport, located in Dong Nai province, is a mega project with a total investment of VND336.63 trillion ($14.12 billion).

It will be built in three phases, and is set to welcome the first plane to make landing or take off in July 2025.

Once fully completed, the 5,000-hectare airport will be the nation’s biggest, helping reduce overload at Tan Son Nhat International Airport.

Dong Nai, a neighbor of Ho Chi Minh City, is a manufacturing hub in southern Vietnam, together with HCMC, Binh Duong, and Long An.

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Chinese battery maker Sunwoda plans extra $22 mln investment in northern Vietnam plant

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Sunwoda, a leading Chinese battery manufacturer, plans to invest an additional $22.5 million in a plant in Vietnam’s northern province of Bac Giang.

This additional funding will raise the project’s total expected capital to $30.2 million, according to Sunwoda’s submission to local authorities for feedback on its environmental impact assessment (EIA).

Sunwoda Vietnam Company Limited in Bac Giang province, northern Vietnam. Photo courtesy of the firm.

Sunwoda Vietnam Company Limited in Bac Giang province, northern Vietnam. Photo courtesy of the firm.

The company, also a supplier to Apple, received in-principle approval for the project in April 2023 and had made five adjustments to the plan as of February 2025.

The plant spans two hectares in Van Trung Industrial Park, Viet Yen district. It produces lithium batteries for headphones, mobile phones, computers, and other electronic devices, with an annual capacity of over 15.5 million units.

A recent addition to the project includes the production of breast pumps and other personal electric devices, with a planned annual capacity of 600,000 units.

The project will also produce battery management unit (BMU) circuit boards, with a yearly output of 6.64 million units.

At the current stage, the project employs 250 workers. Once fully operational, it is expected to employ around 350 workers.

Renovations of the factory are expected to be completed between April and June 2025, with operations set to begin in June 2025.

At a meeting with the Bac Giang government last July, Sunwoda’s executives revealed plans to invest an additional $300 million at the Yen Lu Industrial Park.

China is currently the biggest foreign investor in Bac Giang province, with total investments exceeding $6.6 billion.

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Hopes endure for real estate optimism

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There had been heightened optimism among investors when it comes to Vietnam’s real estate sector this year – but a spanner now may be in the works in the form of new and heavy US tariffs.

The unexpected decision of the United States to impose strict tariffs on Vietnamese exports to the US will likely have a knock-on effect on the country’s recovering real estate sector.

Hopes endure for real estate optimism
Hopes endure for real estate optimism, Photo: Le Toan

Dinh Minh Tuan, southern regional director for property website Batdongsan.com.vn, said that if the US tariffs are implemented on April 9 (see Pages 2-3), Vietnam may experience a decrease in foreign investment inflows, which may reduce the liquidity of the real estate market in the mid-range and low-end segments.

“There will be a risk that the demand for buying and renting houses by foreigners will decrease respectively,” Tuan said.

In addition, under the pressure of controlling inflation and exchange rates, homebuyers will have difficulty repaying their debts, leading to a drop in purchasing power, especially in the mid-range segment.

“The negative sentiment from the US will also cause the real estate market to freeze temporarily, the severity of which will depend on Vietnam’s ability to respond and the development of global trade policies,” Tuan added. “The real estate segments that will be greatly affected are mid-range real estate, industrial real estate, and possibly resorts.”

Before the US unveiled its plans for global economic upheaval last week, developers and investors in Vietnam had been bullish when it came to new projects thanks to a recently strengthened legal system, favourable economic indicators, and overall heightened optimism.

Major housing group Vinhomes plans to launch at least four new projects for sale this year: Apollo City in Quang Ninh province, Wonder City in Hanoi, Phuoc Vinh Tay in Long An province, and Duong Kinh in Haiphong city.

The group is also set to sell more developments in the new urban area Duc Hoa-Hau Nghia in the Mekong Delta province of Long An.

According to a report released by ACB Securities in March, Vinhomes’s Wonder City and Phuoc Vinh Tay may respectively contribute 20 and 12 per cent to Vinhomes 2025 sales contract value, expected at $3.7 billion.

Dat Xanh Group will restart Gem Riverside in Ho Chi Minh City later this year. Vietcombank Securities in a mid-March report said that the selling price level of Gem Riverside would be positive, at $4,400-4,800 per square metre, helping to bring in a cash flow of about over $1 billion over the next few years.

In parallel, Dat Xanh will also open the next subdivisions at Gem Sky World in Dong Nai province. Following 800 land plots sold in the Sapphire Parkview subdivision since 2024, Dat Xanh will launch around 400 more plots in 2025.

Meanwhile, Novaland also expects to earn a profit of $56 million this year thanks to the handover of more than 3,000 real estate products.

In addition to Aqua City, NovaWorld Phan Thiet, and NovaWorld Ho Tram, with legal progress to resume construction and sales this year, Novaland plans to open two other new complexes in Ho Chi Minh City: Park Avenue and Palm City.

New advances

Meanwhile, the Ministry of Construction has been studying international experience and reviewing regulations on the establishment of a National Housing Fund to develop low-cost housing in large cities.

According to real estate expert Dang Hung Vo, the fund will focus on supporting businesses and individuals through credit and tax policies.

“The state only plays a management role in this fund to regulate and ensure fairness in accordance with market mechanisms and the law of supply and demand. The state supports planning, land allocation, site clearance, and price regulation. Businesses and investors will be offered financial support to reduce pressure on project implementation. Thus, implementation will be faster, reducing investment costs, thereby reducing pressure on home prices,” said Vo.

Moreover, the Ministry of Finance has proposed to continue applying a 30 per cent reduction in land rent for 2025. This policy is a significant financial support measure that helps ease cost pressures for real estate businesses, particularly those leasing land from the state for development.

Prime Minister Pham Minh Chinh asked the State Bank of Vietnam and commercial banks to study preferential credit packages to develop housing for young people, while the Real Estate Association proposed applying an annual interest rate of 6-7 per cent for young people buying homes for the first time.

According to Duong Duc Hieu, director and senior analyst at Vietnam Investors Service, said that despite improvements in revenue recognition and cash resources, developer profitability and operating cash flow continued to deteriorate in 2024.

“However, we view 2025 as a year of stronger operating performance for developers. New housing supply from extensive developments since in the second half of last year, buoyed by robust homebuyer sentiment, will drive sales and enhance the financial performance of developers in 2025,” Hieu said in a report released in March.

“New policies will boost housing supply and demand in 2025 and beyond. The new Land Law, Housing Law, and Real Estate Business Law, effective since August 2024, along with over 20 guiding circulars and decrees, have accelerated developments and sales,” Hieu added. “The new housing supply will continue improving in 2025 while demand will recover unevenly, with further exuberance in the residential segment and lags in the hospitality segment.”

Confidence in the market

According to Michael Glancy, managing director for JLL in Thailand, Indonesia, Philippines, and Vietnam, the latter remains one of the fastest growing economies in Asia.

“As Vietnam’s property market enters a new chapter of economic growth, JLL remains optimistic about investment prospects for 2025, highlighting rising deal flows, resilient fundamentals, and ongoing regulatory enhancements as key drivers of growth. Vietnam’s real estate market is showing clear signs of strengthening, and we anticipate a significant uptick in investment activity as we progress through 2025,” said Glancy in JLL’s Vietnam Property Market Outlook 2025 report.

“The easing of borrowing costs and a notable boost in investor confidence are key drivers behind this positive trend. Vietnam’s fundamental strengths continue to make it an attractive destination for real estate investment across a range of sectors. As market conditions continue to improve, we expect to see a surge in transactions and development projects, reinforcing Vietnam’s position as a prime market for real estate opportunities in Southeast Asia,” he added.

After record-low supply levels in 2024, Vietnam’s residential sector is set for a resurgence, fuelled by new regulatory amendments that are improving transparency and approval processes. Developers and investors have historically focused on Hanoi, Ho Chi Minh City and increasingly on satellite areas, where demand is expected to pick up.

“The market is embarking upon a healthier cycle, supported by a combination of urbanisation, a growing middle class, and regulatory improvements. We anticipate stronger sales in well-planned residential projects, especially mid-to-high-end segments,” said Le Trang, country head of JLL Vietnam.

“Vietnam remains a top Southeast Asian destination for manufacturing, leveraging its strategic location. The country benefits from evolving local regulations, global shifts, and ambitious infrastructure development, making it increasingly attractive for industrial and logistics investments,” Trang added. “Vietnam remains one of the fastest growing economies in Asia. Disbursed foreign investment capital are expected to reach $25.4 billion by 2024, up 9.4 per cent on-year, with major infrastructure driving the development of real estate hotspots across the country.”

Marc Townsend, senior advisor Arcadia Consulting (Singapore)

I think it’s a bit too early to say what the long-term effects will be for the US tariff changes, but it’s certainly a huge wake-up call for the Vietnamese government and wider real estate market, especially the nascent industrial sector.

However, the industrial sector will almost certainly stall and possibly falter until there is more certainty with the ongoing negotiations. The wider real estate market was recovering well from a couple of years of low supply in Ho Chi Minh City and Hanoi; too much inventory and speculation in the second home sector in Danang, Nha Trang, and Phu Quoc; and the ongoing anti-corruption drive, low levels of confidence, and higher interest rates.

This year also started well with new government policy and laws regarding the real estate market, improving infrastructure, and a widening of the manufacturing base prompting the government to forecast 8 per cent GDP growth. This will be a more challenging proposition but, with Vietnam’s well-oiled diplomacy skills and the whole world now wearing sneakers that are made in Vietnam, not an impossibility.

Peter Ryder, executive chairman Indochina Capital

The large US reciprocal tariffs on Vietnam will definitely impact the real estate market, as its growth is dependent on GDP growth.

As of 2023, exports to the US accounted for nearly 30 per cent of Vietnam’s GDP. Thus, if the new tariffs are implemented, Vietnam’s GDP will be considerably affected, and this will in turn affect real estate growth.

Meanwhile, the manufacturing sector is at the heart of Vietnam’s economy and has been primarily responsible for its impressive growth over the years.

If these tariffs stand, the government’s growth target of 8 per cent in 2025 will no longer be feasible. With a depressed local, regional, and global economy, all of Vietnam’s economic sectors, including real estate, will be adversely affected.

For the industrial market, Indochina Capital has discussed this matter with some of its tenants at Core5 Vietnam, and all players understand the level of uncertainty surrounding this issue.

This tariff rate will not only affect leasing and releasing at all industrial properties across the country, but foreign investors will also think twice before committing their capital to Vietnam.

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